The damage of the Green Fallacy

Summary

  • as has now become starkly evident, since Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine, the whole of “Green / Net Zero Thinking ” is the outcome of a long-term fifth column operation supported by Russia and probably China over the last several decades.
  • These undermining processes, aimed at the West were recognised and understood  as a geopolitical threat by NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen in 2014.
  • An excellent way to damage Western economies has been to render their power generation unreliable and expensive.
  • This damaging result has already been achieved and it is already (July 2022) anticipated that there will be severe energy crisis in Europe in the Winter of 2022 – 23.
  • European Nations are now clearly dependent on Russia, an aggressive supplier, capable of restricting its energy supplies to Europe thus bringing vast economic damage.
  • the European Energy Crisis will have been self-imposed self-harm induced by the “Virtue signalling” from the imposition of Green policies.
  • As Sun Tzu, the Art of War said

“The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting.”

  • Western Green Thinking and Net Zero Climate policies attempting to avoid small  levels of CO2 emissions have already done massive, fruitless self-harm to Western economies and Western populations.
  • The well understood logarithmic diminution of the effectiveness of CO2 as a warming agent, means that the temperature effect of any future Man-made CO2 emissions beyond the current ~420ppmv level can from now on only ever be marginal and so irrelevant.
  • From now on forward Global overheating from Man-made CO2 emissions causing a “Climate Catastrophe” is only a minor problem amongst other priorities:  those other problems would be much cheaper to address and would have vastly more worthwhile results for the well-being of Man-kind overall.
  • The burning of fossil fuels in the West is no longer leading to global catastrophe.
  • The poor productivity and unreliability of Weather-Dependent generation means that the use of “Renewable Energy” is an “Appalling Delusion” to support a developed nation.

Geopolitical considerations

Subsequent to the outbreak of war and Russia’s invasion of  the Ukraine, it is clear that the whole of “Green / Net Zero Thinking ” is the outcome of a long-term fifth column operation supported by Russia and probably China over the last several years.

These undermining processes, aimed at damaging the economies of the West were well recognised by NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen in 2014.  An excellent way to damage Western economies has been to render their power generation unreliable and  expensive.  Europe as a whole is now dependent on an aggressive supplier.

“If you put your head in the jaws of a crocodile, don’t expect not to shut its mouth”.

This fifth column operation promotes the damaging activities of Putin’s “useful idiots”, (Lenin’s term),  in “environmental” Non-Government Organisations, and Western academia:  those equally damaging beliefs have spread throughout Governments in the Western world.

This has led to the unwise dependency of Germany and other European Nations on Russian energy supplies.  Those energy sales are now holding Europe to ransom, or are funding Russia’s incursion into the Ukraine and enable the Russian threats to other Nations in Western Europe.

The objectives of Green Thinking have been imposed by Western Government policies but with no popular mandate throughout the Western world.Western actions alone to control CO2 emissions, or even with full Global participation could never have any significant influence over World Climate and could never save the World from “Man-made Climate Change”, if it ever needed saving.  But Western Green Thinking and Net Zero Climate policies have already done massive, fruitless self-harm to Western economies and Western populations.

Man-made Climate Change

Bjorn Lomborg is correct that any Man-made Climate Change from now on and into the future is one comparatively minor Global problem amongst many others:  those would be far cheaper to address by adaptation rather than active mitigation and could have vastly more worthwhile results for the wellbeing of Man-kind.

Any extra relatively minor future warming is likely to be advantageous rather than detrimental.

Man-made Global Warming is certainly not an immediate and existential global catastrophe caused by the burning of fossil fuels in the West. 

The “problem of Man-made climate change” has deliberately been blown out of all proportion and is used as a mechanism to undermine Western economies.  There is no reason to destroy the economies of the Western world to combat Man-made Global Warming:  except to the benefit of Russia and China.

Warming from Man-kind’s CO2 emissions is no longer a problem

As a result of the well understood logarithmic diminution of the effectiveness of CO2 as a warming agent, the temperature effect of any future Man-made CO2 emissions can from now on only ever be marginal.  The effectiveness of CO2 as a Green-House gas from 400ppmv on upwards is almost saturated.

The Radiation Physics supporting this view is well explained by Professor Will Happer, former scientific advisor to the US government.  The phenomenon is well understood by the IPCC, (the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change).  The logarithmic diminution effect is included in the detailed IPCC reports.

But this crucial diminution phenomenon, making the effect of any future Man-made CO2 emissions on Man-made Climate Change from CO2 emissions irrelevant, is always omitted from the IPCC Summaries for Policy Makers.

Screenshot 2022-02-28 at 13.34.31.png

The temperature enhancing effectiveness of higher levels of atmospheric CO2 is shown below

Screenshot 2022-03-28 at 07.45.53.png

“Renewable Energy” can never properly support a developed Nation

As power sources, Wind and Solar energy are inherently dilute, intermittent and irregularly unreliable.  Their manufacture is parasitic for energy on other generators and very costly in materials and land use.

The actual measured annual productivity or capacity percentage of Wind and Solar power Generation is poor, ~20%, when compared to dispatchable conventional generation, 90%.  Providing a consistent National power supply becomes ever more difficult when it has to accommodate the sudden changes of output from “Renewables”. 

For National power production, reliability and consistency really matters.

Screenshot 2022-05-15 at 09.38.19.png

As Professor David Mackay FRS, (eminent Cambridge physicist and former chief scientific officer at the UK Department of Energy), said in an interview just before his untimely death in 2016, that the promotion of

“Renewable Energy” was driven by an “appalling delusion”.

The delusion has been perpetrated people in the position of policy makers who have no understanding of the mathematics, engineering and practicalities of Energy technologies.

Would anyone sane ever buy a car costing up to 20 times the normal price that only works one day in five, when you never know which day that might be ?  And then insist that its technology is used to power the whole economy.

Comparative Weather-Dependent costs accounting for productivity

The US Energy Information Administration publishes comparative cost estimates for various Power generation technologies:  when these cost comparisons, without the distortions of political interventions and subsidies, are multiplied up with the recorded productivity of “Weather-Dependent Renewables”, they turn out to be very expensive by comparison for the small amount of the chaotically unreliable and intermittent power they provide to the Grid.

Any idea that Wind and Solar power could reach cost parity with conventional power generation is patently false.

Screenshot 2022-09-29 at 12.01.09.png

The comparison with Gas-firing for generation at USA Gas prices are summarised below:

Screenshot 2022-09-29 at 12.24.55.png

Some supporting documents:

On a personal note Ed Hoskins

Green Thinking: a contradiction in terms and the self-destruction of the West

2021 European Wind Drought and “Renewable” generation

 

Why Global Warming Is Good For Us

Scientific Flaws In IPCC Climate Models And What The AR6 Report Left Out

The High Cost Of The Green-Energy Delusion